One of the most important life lessons I’ve learned is a fact established by research and it is that people really dislike being wrong. Of course, what we dislike even more is being told — or heaven forbid, shown — that we are wrong. We’re all like that, to different extents. But the ones who seem to be particularly vulnerable to the frustration associated with discovering you are wrong are incompetent people in positions requiring competence.
Incompetent - perhaps. But also power hungry weirdos who will do anything to boss everyone around, and shoehorn the rabble into the world THEY want.
No one says boo, so they keep going. Rational actors are now talking about 'climate change' and carbon in the atmosphere as if it's a settled issue. It was simply brute force, control of the media, and public shaming that's done that.
It looks as if the world may be in for a cold spell. So what? "This is what we meant when we said climate CHANGE."
You'll be hearing that in the not so distant future. There's a method to their madness. A small fraction of it is incompetence - the rest is ushering in their utopia, the masses be damned.
Apr 11, 2022·edited Apr 11, 2022Liked by Irina Slav
The problem with even discussing renewable energy as a percent of total consumption is that it is intermittent. It makes sense to discuss sources of natural gas as 30% or 80% because it is dispatchable as needed. Looking at just land-based wind for a moment, the max capacity factor is about 32%. There's no way to get 40% of energy needs from wind, no matter how many wind turbines are built.
That Recharge report is a wonderful exercise in doublethink:
- They don’t get the prices they need to compete in the market.
AND
-Wind is the cheapest power.
- Bad government policies don’t take into account the 85% made in China (with coal...) supply chain.
AND
- They need government policies to move the supply chain back to the high cost EU labor pool so they can increase capacity 2-3x.
The only reason anyone has ever installed a wind turbine is because of government policies, and it seems that will continue for a while longer. Clearly more pain is required here.
Humans are humans, on all levels; they make decisions based on their ‘perceptional reality’, how they learned to ‘see’ the world, and that depend on the state of their health, of ‘body and mind’. In many countries, people insist not only on ‘privatizing decisions’ but also on ‘socializing consequences’; unfortunately, there is no evidence in evolutionary history of this planet that such a disconnect was ever allowed to exist for an extended period of time. Nature has unfailing mechanisms for ‘rebalancing’ its system of Life, in due course.
Sustainable evolution is based on adherence to the absolute interdependence of ‘decisions-consequences feedback loop’ by all its system components, including humans; Nature simply keeps what is healthy/optimizing for the ‘whole’, and discarding what is not; without such a mechanism there is no learning, negating evolution; the impact of unhealthy decisions ‘avalanches’ forward, with similar, scale-appropriate, force and extent, as the well-known power of massive snow slides. On a societal level, lack of health leads to prevalence of unhealthy decisions that become part of its ‘culture’, reflecting fracturing of ‘collective intelligence’ with lack of ‘rationality and responsibility’.
Not acknowledging ‘being wrong’ is simply ignoring the above-mentioned learning loop.
Incompetent - perhaps. But also power hungry weirdos who will do anything to boss everyone around, and shoehorn the rabble into the world THEY want.
No one says boo, so they keep going. Rational actors are now talking about 'climate change' and carbon in the atmosphere as if it's a settled issue. It was simply brute force, control of the media, and public shaming that's done that.
It looks as if the world may be in for a cold spell. So what? "This is what we meant when we said climate CHANGE."
You'll be hearing that in the not so distant future. There's a method to their madness. A small fraction of it is incompetence - the rest is ushering in their utopia, the masses be damned.
The problem with even discussing renewable energy as a percent of total consumption is that it is intermittent. It makes sense to discuss sources of natural gas as 30% or 80% because it is dispatchable as needed. Looking at just land-based wind for a moment, the max capacity factor is about 32%. There's no way to get 40% of energy needs from wind, no matter how many wind turbines are built.
“Most Unprecedented Transformation” - hilarious!
That Recharge report is a wonderful exercise in doublethink:
- They don’t get the prices they need to compete in the market.
AND
-Wind is the cheapest power.
- Bad government policies don’t take into account the 85% made in China (with coal...) supply chain.
AND
- They need government policies to move the supply chain back to the high cost EU labor pool so they can increase capacity 2-3x.
The only reason anyone has ever installed a wind turbine is because of government policies, and it seems that will continue for a while longer. Clearly more pain is required here.
Humans are humans, on all levels; they make decisions based on their ‘perceptional reality’, how they learned to ‘see’ the world, and that depend on the state of their health, of ‘body and mind’. In many countries, people insist not only on ‘privatizing decisions’ but also on ‘socializing consequences’; unfortunately, there is no evidence in evolutionary history of this planet that such a disconnect was ever allowed to exist for an extended period of time. Nature has unfailing mechanisms for ‘rebalancing’ its system of Life, in due course.
Sustainable evolution is based on adherence to the absolute interdependence of ‘decisions-consequences feedback loop’ by all its system components, including humans; Nature simply keeps what is healthy/optimizing for the ‘whole’, and discarding what is not; without such a mechanism there is no learning, negating evolution; the impact of unhealthy decisions ‘avalanches’ forward, with similar, scale-appropriate, force and extent, as the well-known power of massive snow slides. On a societal level, lack of health leads to prevalence of unhealthy decisions that become part of its ‘culture’, reflecting fracturing of ‘collective intelligence’ with lack of ‘rationality and responsibility’.
Not acknowledging ‘being wrong’ is simply ignoring the above-mentioned learning loop.
“It’s Easier to Fool People Than It Is to Convince Them That They Have Been Fooled.” – Mark Twain
„Quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat.” And this is true for some time, undfortunatelly. Thank you for the analysis.