80 Comments
Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

Last week the AP (Always Preposterous) reported on a new record high daily average temp. It was around 62F, I think. The new high beat the old high by 0.1F. I have so many questions about how anyone can measure the average surface temperature of a planet, that the questions could easily fill a book. Irina, glad you survived the heat. Here in Oklahoma it's almost August. Next week the forecast is for four days of a heat index of 105F to 110F. I am doing some extra hydrating in anticipation of some HOT walks. The local TV stations are already warning people about being outside during the extreme heat. Adapt or die, in action. As usual, another great post! 🤘😎🤘

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There are a multitude of ways global average temperatures are arrived at, and in many cases are amalgamated. There’re millions of land sites and sea temperature, pressure and humidity detectors, as well as regularly released weather balloons, even aircraft, offshore rigs and ships collect and transmit temperature and pressure data, all have been for many decades. Over the last few decades there are numerous satellites which collect temperature data amongst other weather related things, you just have to do a bit of simple research🤔

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

I know about most of the temperature gathering techniques. I'm suspicious of how they are combined to obtain an average. Suspicious probably isn't a strong enough word.

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Your problem Karloff is one of trust, and that is difficult to overcome barring someone takes you by the hand and physically takes you to all the actual data collection points so you can take you own measurements at that point, and then look for where the data enters and exits the system for every one of those points visited, and then you also need to physically check out all the algorithms employed. Now if you don’t want to do that then maybe try looking up Prof. Eliot Jacobson of Climate Casino he’s also on ‘X’ (fka Twitter) @EliotJackobson . Hope that helps Karloff🤔

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Jul 27Liked by Irina Slav

Synchronise watches. In the movies, a Special Ops team is going to attack the bad guys. “We move at 2am,” says the team leader. “Synchronise watches.” The team members sync their watches with the team leader’s, not because his is correct but all watches must tell the same time so all move at the same time.

The same is true in science. If data from multiple thermometers is to be aggregated all those instruments must be calibrated against a single reference instrument, so they will all show exactly the same temperature in the same location. If this is not the case, the aggregate data contains unknown margin of error and is useless.

Here in Europe in some Countries, roadside radar speed limit signs illuminate to tell you your speed. Never has my speedometer in three different cars over the years, agreed with the speed flashed up on the road sign - usually a discrepancy of between 2 to 4 mph or kph. So which is correct? Of course my speedometer and road sign are not calibrated to a single reference instrument. If I average the two - is that my actual speed?

Thermometers used for the alleged global average are not calibrated against a standard reference instrument and many are accurate to within 5C. If you put two of them in the same location, they will show different readings. This doesn’t matter much for weather forecasting, but it matters in science.

Only a few dozen designated temperature measuring sites are used for the official global average, (the HadCRU record) not millions, these are mostly in Europe and North America, elsewhere in cities or at airports all paces where Human activity elevates ambient temperatures. For this reason adjustments are made for ‘the Urban Heat Island Effect’ and also for such things as station drop out, replaced instruments, re-siting of the weather station These ‘adjustments’ taint the raw data to introduce yet more error. Despite this, the ‘scientists’ are able to report changes in temperature to an exquisite degree - tenths and hundredths of a degree making the output considerable more accurate than the data input - which of course is absurd.

The actual temperature record dates back to 1860, and instrument making back then was crude in modern terms.

In summary: the so-called Global Mean Temperature Anomaly which purports to show global warming, and which has been ‘corrected’ three times since the 1990s, is a confection of manipulated data to produce numbers, not temperature data, to show whatever the Climatrons want it to show. Calling it junk-science would be too kind.

In reality, the actual temperature - which is not unidirectional all the time - cannot be observed or measured as it is so slow and so slight - hence the conjured up numbers from the thing they all the Global Mean Temperature Anomaly.

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author

Thanks! Stay cool!

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

Because… adaptation takes place over generations because the change in weather patterns - such as they may/may not be - is very slow and marginal. Adaptation will be emergent, incremental and done as a matter of course. Therefore it doesn’t require lots of busybodies with high paid jobs, looking for solutions and telling us how we must live our lives.

And changes in climate are not linear.

Imagine if 200 years ago the use of coal and other fossil fuels were banned to prevent climate change. What would life be like today?

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

She is not discussing genetic (or epigenetic) adaptation. She is discussing adaptation in how we live.

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

They are intrinsically linked, if you think about it.

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Certainly, but while one demands many generations, the other can be started in days, or even hours. Think planting a shade tree, for example.

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I’m not talking about genetic adaptation. Since changes in climate are so slow and non-linear, the my are not completed within a generation, change takes place over multiple generations incrementally. This is something the nitwits promoting doom don’t understand… or want to.

9 000 years ago, the island now called Great Britain was not an island and was connected to the Continent via a land bridge - Doggerland. Sea levels were 40 metre lower. As the ice retreated people migrated on to Doggerland then over time onto what is now GB.

Doggerland is now under the North Sea, tte Dogger Bank, and by around 6 000BC, GB had become an island.

None of that happened within a generation. The people of Doggerland adapted to the rising sea level from generation to generation.

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The point about climate change not being linear is one I find extremely important and, as such, totally ignored in the narrative. Thank you for making that point.

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

When I look at the climate blathercluckers all I see is a bunch of whiny non productive goofballs that are largely not as capable as a normal human. They complain about a building being too warm and run for the thermostat. In winter - it’s too cold. They are arrogant enough to think that they can declare any weather not to their ideal standards as man made climate change (only because the global warming crap got debunked and thrown in their face) and everybody else needs to do something about it and pay for it!

It’s time to tell these ninnies to go back to the cave and hunt animals for food but by all means stay out of our grocery stores as we believe in electricity use for refrigeration and gasoline powered cars to get to the stores.

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“tell these ninnies to go back to the cave and hunt animals for food” Of all the mammals on Earth, 96% are livestock and humans, only 4% are wild mammals. Guess Ian you don’t have any qualms in exterminating all the wild mammals. Still I agree with you when it comes to FEE FINITE Flammable Fossils (FFFF’s), as by all means use as much of their slave energy as you. A barrel of oil contains 4.5 years of human work. The world consumes 85 billion barrels equivalent of oil, natural gas and coal annually. That means that we have more than 350 billion fossil energy workers or about 44 fossil slaves for every human. The downside is energy slaves are becoming weaker (why because Oil today isn’t what it was calorifically) and they are disappearing fast, as their extraction increases, well they’re FINITE. So yes enjoy FFFF’s for as long as you can. https://www.stuartmcmillen.com/comic/peak-oil/ 🤔

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Humans & livestock are a small proportion of mammals by numbers. By mass they are the majority.

Should be no problem. Our fission resources will easily power our civilization until the expanding sun turns the Earth into the hellhole of the Solar System. The only real problem is our political systems are so corrupted by Vested interests that the Real solutions are being blockaded while they promote non-solutions to keep the birdbrains happy. It's all propaganda.

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Desperate H.Sapiens have no problem eradicating mammals no matter how small a creature they’ are, is that something you’d enjoy doing Mr Smith.

H.Sapiens found a magic substance in FREE FINITE Flammable Fossils (FFFF’s) but they didn’t realise it until they had the knowledge of how to harness it, but like Pandora’s Box it held demons, FFFF’s had their evil side one of which was they played to H.Sapiens Hubris. The only way out of this predicament is TO USE LESS ENERGY and as Sam Mitchell at Collapse Chronicles says “There is ONE THING we can do to save the planet: Keep your pecker in your pants, and do not let your knickers down. Period. End of story. It will have the added benefit of phasing out coal to zero. Ditto for oil, gas, lithium, copper, cobalt, nickel, plastic, chemicals... I think you get my drift. This is not rocket science.”

And so as regards to Nuclear Fission and Fusion in maintain the Global North’s desire for ever more energy to increase its lifestyle “It Ain’t Gonna’ Happen” Period. End of story🤔

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An Epic Word Salad.

Should be no problem. Trust me. I go with the Math. You go with Ideology.

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There’s plenty of Maths of in what I’ve presented Mr Smith, you just need to understand how to unpack it, or maybe you don’t understand the exponential function. To help, checkout Albert Bartlett Arithmetic, Population and Energy, here’s a link to Arithmetic, Population and Energy - parts 1 to 4 of 8: https://www.albartlett.org/presentations/arithmetic_population_energy_video1.html . These are nice bite sized chunks just in case you suffer from brain fade🤔

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Jul 26·edited Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

One important factor in adaptation is building style. Sensible and rational (not words that describe politicians, sadly) houses that are built ignoring the climate and hence demand constant climatic control to be livable, using energy that the elites in their infinite wisdom have made scarce, unreliable, and shockingly expensive.

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I agree. We have a good southern exposure. We have a roof with a 2' overhang; a simple way to keep the sun out when it's high overhead in the summer, while allowing it to shine in when it's low in the winter.

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Mass-scale building insulation was a rare good idea on the part of the EU. They have now made it mandatory for houses built after I forget which year, but newer ones. It is not a small investment but unlike heat pumps it will pay off both in the summer and the winter.

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

It seems to me you answered your own question as to why the climate alarmists don't mention adaptation in your second to last paragraph, Ms Slav.

If we view all the nonsense of global boiling and fossil fuels=bad, renewables=good through the lens of its underlying purpose - redistribution of wealth to the highest echelons of our moral superiors, it makes perfect sense.

I've been reading Jacob Nordangård's book "Rockefeller: Controlling the Game" (wait, are you the one who mentioned it last month?) and have to say the irony of Rockefeller money being behind much of today's activities is quite something, at least until we understand that the underlying plan of the entire enterprise and the extended family's desire has been to lead to a technocrat-run unified world where people who are most qualified will control the lives of the rest of us.

If you are indeed the writer who mentioned that book, I thank you - if not, I recommend its perusal.

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Not just the Rockefeller crime syndicate but a club of these old wealth Banking families, whose real power comes from their control over Central Banks and the BIS. They've made no secret of their plan for a Totalitarian World Government ruled by them. A hundred year plan, now coming to fruition.

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It wasn't me who recommended that book but I will add it to me to-be-read list. Thank you.

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

One addition to your post, within the scientific community mitigation over adaptation crowns atmospheric physicists, chemists and modelers as the font of all important knowledge, while people in water resources, forests, agriculture, wildlife, building etc. are relegated to second fiddle sciences. A focus on adaptation would lead to sharing the mantles of scientific authority. Sometimes I wonder if this is this generation’s version of “physics envy.”

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Ah. I see. It has always been stunning to me how there are "superior" and "inferior" sciences and I'm not even talking about STEM vs the humanities. We really love our hierarchical orders, don't we...

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I can only think that the voices I hear lately discounting evolution as a 'wrong idea' are part of the 'animals don't change' crowd, when in fact animals and all creatures can and do adapt, evolve, continuously to our environments. On a darker note, I think our ability to do so is being explored and exploited by the evils constant monitoring and poisoning of our bodies inner workings, which they collect readily via the insertion of transmitting entities via the jabs, them wanting to monitor every living thing. The electrical impulses within our bodies have become the wire, the antennae, the profit making mechanism.

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You may be misunderstanding the thousands of scientists that don't believe in amoeba-to-man evolution. They never say "animals don't change". Creatures were created with an enormous ability to adapt. The thing most often overlooked is that the changes within a kind are limited -one kind can't change into another kind. For example, there are hundreds of different varieties of sparrows, but they're still sparrows. Many varieties of pine trees, but they don't change into hemlock trees. etc...

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Species evolve into different species, but major changes are quite simply impossible by random mutation and Darwinian selection. The probabilities involved are in the order of once in the entire universe to the end of time type thing.

So it is quite apparent that some other process is involved in macro-evolution. Johnjoe McFadden has a theory of quantum evolution. That the selection is over all possible futures. So if a survival advantage comes from a mutation in some future environment, that mutation is selected in the present. Otherwise you are likely stuck with some sort of directed evolution theory, or a Matrix type artificial reality.

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Yes, there are all kinds of theories. McFadden's theory sounds a lot like Stephen J Gould's "hopeful monster" theory. But the general theory of evolution is hopeless right from the get-go - it's impossible right at the beginning point - life does not come from non-life, unless you want to stretch to the breaking point your imagination along with all biological laws - it's much simpler and more sensible to simply believe that God created life, just as the bible says, and that He built in the genetic capacity for adaptation. Epigenetics is a wonderful new science studying this.

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Envoking some sort of religious entity is of course a type of Directed Evolution. You could equally well claim these UFOs that we see flying all over the place are some supranatural intelligence that has been here since life began on the Earth. Could the Earth be some sort of alien nature park?

There is evidence for adaptive mutation. If a tank of bacteria is exposed to a toxin that kills most of the bacteria, the surviving bacteria develop mutations that favorably protect it from the toxin at a much greater rate than random chance will allow.

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We need to define our terms. Believing the God of the bible created all life is not 'directed evolution', because, again, one kind cannot turn into another kind, so there is no evolution in the broad sense that I think you mean.

Mutated bacteria that survive toxins that kill most other bacteria (adaptive mutation) are not evidence of evolution. What actually happens in those cases is that the normal genetic sensitivity that is in their genetics is LOST because of the mutation in the DNA. Losing genetic material is hardly 'upward' progress. The mutated bacteria, if returned to a normal environment, are less viable and will quickly become a minority in the bacteria population. Look at it this way: "what did they evolved into? The answer would be mutant bacteria with a loss of pre-existing genetic information." They're still bacteria. Here's a good article on that subject:

https://answersingenesis.org/natural-selection/antibiotic-resistance/observation-of-evolution-in-bacteria/

By the way, I appreciate your disagreeing without ridiculing, as some non-believers do.

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Well what you are saying is likely impossible to evaluate. And ends up being a subject of faith rather than science.

In terms of modern science and the scientific method, the big problem is random mutation cannot explain larger biological changes in which intermediate forms convey no survival advantage. And even moreso the rate at which these incredibly complex mutations must happen is far, far beyond what is mathematically possible.

However adaptive mutation, could explain that, but only if the adaption can "see into the future" so to speak. I know of no other mechanism but quantum effects that could allow for that. And it could also explain the highly improbable formation of life from inanimate matter.

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

Write on, Irina!

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

So simple and so obvious but it clearly needs repeating over, and over, and over. I cannot speak for Bulgaria, but here in the U.S., simple adaption would also take away the power of politicians to spend other people’s money and exert control over the lives of hundreds of millions of people. For the climate fanatics, adaption would render their religious fervor irrelevant and remove all meaning from their otherwise miserable and pointless lives.

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Yes, it invariably comes down to control and feeding fanatical beliefs that give meaning to, apparently, so many people.

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Adaptation.

So simple, even a caveman would do it.

(Cultural reference may not translate. Apologies to Gieco.)

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founding

In Bom Jesus da Lapa where I live sometimes, the weather is like that for several months of the year, always has been, always will be. 105 F in the afternoon, 80 F at 3 in the morning.

Our house has no windows either. Ive thought about putting in a ceiling fan but I haven't done it.

Sometimes it is so hot at night that I get down on the tile floor to sleep, but even the tiles are warm.

Bom Jesus is a city of 75,000 people. A few doctors and lawyers have air conditioning in their offices but that is it. Never in private residences.

The women all go around half naked everywhere all the time. That really does not bother me.

Even there are no hot water heaters anywhere but because the water is stored on the roof for e very residence for pressure and flow reasons, when you turn on the tap you get hot water most of the day.

People are used to it, they have adapted long ago ......

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When we lived in Sumatra, a few klicks from the Equator, my father's desk in his office featured a desk blotter. Its main purpose and function were to absorb sweat while he worked. We (no, You--I exclude myself) in the temperate West/North are heat-wimps.

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Bom Jesus da Lapa is located at 13 degrees 5 minutes south Latitude....be careful about your assumptions ....the area however is semiarid so the humidity is usually low. Still, hot is hot.......I take it you left there, why did you leave .....

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Yes, we are, but to be fair, it's not by choice. I remember the first few summer visits to the in-laws on Romania's southern coast I really suffered from the heat+humidity combination, having grown up in a mostly dry heat part of the world. Over time, I got used to it. I still don't exactly love it but I can function in it without bathing in sweat.

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I agree that jungle heat is not my environment of choice, and many have no choice. Even sixty years later I still use the tropical walking style I learned to move through hot areas with minimal discomfort.

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Yes, it's when you have no choice that you adapt. Survival trumps most other things. I had no idea there could be a walking style to minimise heat discomfort, how fascinating and how logical.

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I have no idea whether it’s just my idea, but I do see natives of the tropics walk slowly, relaxedly, in sort of a slouch. Kinda a “truckin’” walk, maybe. It’s not just to look cool, at least in my case. But I think I survive hot summer asphalt much better if I ease into it when I get out of a car and cross the parking lot, or even go farther.

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I think it makes sense -- the more slowly and relaxedly you move, the less energy you expend. Alas, I'm a fast walker by nature but I will try the slouch next time I'm in town.

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Sorry, I didn't intend to be mean. In retrospect can we take that "You" to mean the collective You, meaning people whose environment must always be appropriate for Rare Books sections of libraries?

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And I'm sure you don't have many climate activists in Bom Jesus da Lapa.

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I don't make a habit of revealing my personal family issues, but I feel this is justified to assist your argument (not that you need any help). My great-great-great-great uncle refused to adapt and that side of the BB clan still are unable to leave the pond due to their gills

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Unfortunate. :D

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Question for your introspection, Irina: Does your substack flow from the need to adapt to the rise of world stupidity? If the answer is yes, that would encourage me to start my own.

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It absolutely does, Dolev. I felt a growing need to vent about all the insanity I was witnessing and, hopefully, draw people's attention to said insanity so we could counter it together, if only by talking about it and exposing it for what it is. Substack looked like the perfect place for it.

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Time I get off my butt and start posting my stuff.

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I’m thinking Irina your idea of climate adaptation is probably air conditioning and WFH👩‍💻 in a well insulated and ventilated residence, the WFH 👩‍💻 might save a bit of energy but aircon won’t, as most likely any extra energy will come from CO2 emitting fuels, and even discounting CO2 it’s still emitting heat. And as for growing your own food that’s a laugh, besides being an oxymoron, at best it’s a token gesture as you’d need at least an acre and a half of land to be sustainable, and even that’s debatable whether you could still do it, as apart from it being backbreaking labour it still comes down to the vagaries of the weather and what diet it could provide you with. But besides meeting ‘your’ adaptation needs, what about those just above the equator who will feel the heat most, many countries will be experiencing wet bulb temperatures beyond what a human can survive, also affecting ability to grow plants. The peoples of these hot house regions will be the first ones to migrate to cooler and more stable climates so most probably northwards, this then puts all sorts of pressures on those countries they’re escaping to, maybe even Bulgaria🤔

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Migrating to cooler locations is adaptation.

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Indonesia, so I'm told, is moving its capital from Jakarta to Borneo. Perhaps they found a location at a higher altitude that is cooler than central Java.

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We will have no choice but to move to Nuclear energy which happens to not emit CO2. Emitting waste heat is not significant. Adaption to the current projected temperatures is easy.

Adapting to a World destroyed by war is another problem altogether. Idiotic to worry about climate change while our corrupt leaders are pushing us into WW3 with Russia. They are even admitting it. Telling us we will be in a full scale war with Russia in 2026 to 2027. Maybe China & Iran also. We are being led by Psychopaths. They ALL need to be thrown out.

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Sorry to be rude, but this is nonsensical blather. Jakarta (look it up if you don't know how close it is to the Equator) is hot and dirty, and densely populated (You almost lost me at your undefined "WFH" but I stuck with it with clenched teeth.)

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WFH = Working From Home. Maybe Jakarta’s survivable now but temperature wise in 25, 50, 100 years that’s unlikely to be the case, but you’ll probably be okay🤔

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Jul 27·edited Jul 27Author

No, it isn't. We do not have air-conditioning in our house and we have no plans to buy one. I don't know what WFH is. We use fans during the hottest hours but prefer to keep the difference between indoors and outdoors temperature non-radical for resilience reasons. These past couple of weeks, it's been 30C inside. Quite livable when it's 40C outside. In the winter, we keep a nice 19C inside when it's subzero outside. We do not have insulation but we will put up some soon. Insulation is adaptation, yes. AC is not.

The threats of temperature beyond what people can survive keep coming but the temperatures themselves keep not coming. Ditto crop death and all. Climate-related migration is another form of adaptation.

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

OMG, you heretic😂. Didn’t the Dutch build dikes and windmills a few hundred years ago to adapt?

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:D I'm sure there are people ready to argue that the activities that earned the country its name were Very Bad for The Planet.

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Jul 26Liked by Irina Slav

The temperature is the hottest ever there n record...since 1940. Well, 80 years of data points is just fine. Ignore that it's been 10,000 years since the last ice age.

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